Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.269934 2.607522 2.981249 3.426202 3.942249 4.522761 5.226514
2025-05-25 1.687242 2.118686 2.643091 3.329732 4.208597 5.300443 6.766992
2025-06-01 1.427044 1.903267 2.520055 3.382157 4.563621 6.136920 8.409024
2025-06-08 1.256446 1.759675 2.446007 3.458073 4.925501 6.995672 10.172580
2025-06-15 1.108229 1.617967 2.344506 3.466232 5.173767 7.706405 11.805027
2025-06-22 0.969321 1.467365 2.205107 3.391038 5.275544 8.197693 13.156308
2025-06-29 0.863387 1.350610 2.098007 3.344532 5.404870 8.733123 14.634390
2025-07-06 0.770024 1.241029 1.986932 3.273588 5.478569 9.177499 16.008553
2025-07-13 0.737801 1.224804 2.020847 3.440952 5.964432 10.361518 18.823219
2025-07-20 0.678742 1.156889 1.960884 3.439104 6.152974 11.046979 20.823857
2025-07-27 0.644567 1.127312 1.961812 3.542242 6.538545 12.128457 23.718258
2025-08-03 0.603550 1.081063 1.927988 3.576792 6.798019 13.001884 26.322585
2025-08-10 0.555646 1.022986 1.876787 3.592915 7.064739 14.004117 29.527638
2025-08-17 0.496579 0.938795 1.770158 3.493773 7.101275 14.578346 31.992216
2025-08-24 0.463480 0.899730 1.743719 3.548840 7.458659 15.865631 36.264379
2025-08-31 0.436716 0.869661 1.730730 3.628738 7.878955 17.351384 41.277701
2025-09-07 0.405691 0.827202 1.687336 3.637326 8.142142 18.525724 45.767061
2025-09-14 0.370066 0.771087 1.608928 3.558191 8.192866 19.214496 49.169151
2025-09-21 0.340944 0.725514 1.547629 3.509250 8.306658 20.070533 53.176021
2025-09-28 0.312842 0.679078 1.479177 3.434596 8.346880 20.750338 56.841418
2025-10-05 0.306007 0.679117 1.514219 3.610720 9.038528 23.203374 66.007623
2025-10-12 0.287126 0.649659 1.478469 3.608776 9.272341 24.489426 72.041461
2025-10-19 0.276981 0.639391 1.486345 3.717325 9.815032 26.706177 81.383819